PredictionMart is the premier platform for forecasting the future of tech, trade, and geopolitics. Turn your insights into profit.
Get StartedTo empower individuals across Asia by providing a transparent and accessible platform to capitalize on their knowledge and forecast future events. We believe in the power of collective intelligence to reveal the true probabilities of what's to come.
A financial analyst in Singapore who uses market data to hedge against geopolitical risks.
A software developer in Bangalore who follows tech trends and predicts the next big breakthroughs.
A journalist in Dubai who leverages deep regional knowledge to forecast trade and policy outcomes.
An event with a clear, verifiable outcome is defined (e.g., "Will Apple release an AI iPhone by June 2025?").
Participants buy or sell "Yes" or "No" shares. A "Yes" share pays out $1 if the event happens, $0 if not.
A share price of $0.22 for "Yes" implies the market believes there is a 22% chance of it happening. Prices fluctuate based on market sentiment.
After the event occurs, winning contracts are paid out at $1 per share. All other contracts expire worthless.
You believe SpaceX will land Starship on Mars by 2030. 'Yes' shares are trading at $0.22. You invest $100 to buy ~454 shares. If you are correct, your shares pay out $454, for a profit of $354.
You believe global temperatures will not exceed 1.5°C in 2024. 'No' shares are trading at $0.75. You invest $300 to buy 400 shares. If you are correct, your shares pay out $400, for a profit of $100.